Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
ITA
90%
9%
1%
|
84 | 27 | 57 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
ARM
89%
10%
2%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RPA
3 - 2
GEN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RPA
3 - 0
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RPA
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |