Libertad vs Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
19
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
LQE
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
RES
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 4
SPT
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 0
RES
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |