Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
CCP
39%
26%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |