Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
OLI
1 - 1
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1976 |
OLI
2 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |