Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |