Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
12O
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |