Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
RÑU
4 - 1
NAC
40%
25%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |