Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Libertad vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 2
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 0
MWA
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |