Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIB
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 0
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
39%
25%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |