Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |