Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
CCP
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
24%
28%
49%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
IND
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
IND
0 - 2
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
IND
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |