Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 2
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
21%
61%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
GEN
5 - 2
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |