Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
50%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
GUA
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |