Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
RÑU
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 2
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |