Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
RÑU
0 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |