Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
3 - 5
TIG
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |