Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIB
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIB
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |