Libertad vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
17
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
JLM
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |