Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
28%
25%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 0
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GEN
3 - 1
DEP
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |