Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GEN
4 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
4 - 1
AME
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
CCP
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |