Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 1
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
CCP
3 - 1
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
RÑU
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |