Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 1
LQE
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 0
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |