Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
28
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
2DE
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
JLM
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 1
JLM
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |