Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
1º
19
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIB
5 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 0
2DE
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 1
JLM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 2
LQE
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
JLM
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 3
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |