Libertad vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
LIB
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1977 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAL
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |