Libertad vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CCP
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 3
OLI
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
AUC
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 0
EME
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
49%
29%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
LIG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |