Libertad vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 6
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
RIV
4 - 1
LIB
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 1
CFC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |