Libertad vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |