Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 5
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 4
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 3
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |