Libertad vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
29D
0 - 5
LIB
15%
19%
67%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 1
12O
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
12O
1 - 3
OLI
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |