Libertad vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
12O
3 - 2
GEN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |