Libertad vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
12O
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 1
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |