Libertad vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
12O
0 - 2
LQE
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 2
RÑU
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |