Libertad vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 1
RÑU
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
2DE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
5 - 0
TAC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |