Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
40
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 1
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 5
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
RES
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |