Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
LIB
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 0
CCP
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 4
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 2
12O
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |