Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
0 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 1
GAR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AME
4 - 1
CCP
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |