Libertad vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 1
LIB
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LQE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |