Libertad vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 2
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIV
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |