Libertad vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
LIB
82%
11%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
LIB
2 - 1
EVE
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
LIB
3 - 0
UCH
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
OLI
0 - 0
LIB
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIB
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1977 |
PLA
1 - 2
BOC
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
LIB
82%
11%
6%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1977 |
BOC
4 - 1
QUI
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
GLP
1 - 4
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |