Libertad vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 2
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
IND
4 - 2
LIB
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 1
AME
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
3 - 1
LON
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
LON
0 - 4
ATP
15%
22%
64%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |