Libertad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
LIB
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
EQU
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 1
NAC
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
JAG
68%
21%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |