Libertad vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
LIB
0 - 4
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 3
CCP
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
AME
3 - 1
MIN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MIN
0 - 2
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |