Liberia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBR
2 - 1
CGO
11%
16%
73%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CGO
3 - 1
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LBR
1 - 1
COD
6%
11%
83%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MTN
0 - 1
LBR
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LBR
0 - 2
MTN
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ZIM
1 - 1
COD
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
COD
1 - 2
ZIM
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
ZIM
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
ZIM
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |