CHAN Qualifying Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Liberia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
LBR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 2
EQG
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 3
ALG
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBR
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
LBR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 0
CIV
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 1
SLE
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 2
SLE
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |