Liberia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
UGA
1 - 0
LBR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LBR
2 - 0
UGA
19%
22%
60%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NGA
6 - 1
LBR
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LBR
2 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
73%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
0 - 0
LBR
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
SEN
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
ANG
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |