Liberia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
0 - 0
EQG
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
1 - 2
CMR
5%
17%
78%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
RSA
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 3
ANG
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 2
SEN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |