Liberia vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 0
LBR
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 1
DJI
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
DJI
0 - 6
SWZ
21%
21%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
DJI
0 - 2
TOG
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
DJI
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |