Liberia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TOG
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 0
LBR
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBR
1 - 0
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
8 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 35 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
TUN
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |