Liberia vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
46%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
LBR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 2
EQG
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBR
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 3
ALG
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
TOG
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
2 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |